{"id":2936,"date":"2026-04-05T12:24:57","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T16:24:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/?p=2936"},"modified":"2026-04-05T12:25:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T16:25:02","slug":"bitcoin-60","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/bitcoin-60\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bottom or Bull Trap? Market Signals Split"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"gb-block-image gb-block-image-9f870a80\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"628\" class=\"gb-image gb-image-9f870a80\" src=\"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Untitled-design-2026-04-05T215231.651.webp\" alt=\"Bitcoin Bottom or Bull Trap? Market Signals Split\" title=\"Untitled design - 2026-04-05T215231.651\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Untitled-design-2026-04-05T215231.651.webp 1200w, https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Untitled-design-2026-04-05T215231.651-300x157.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Untitled-design-2026-04-05T215231.651-768x402.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> is sending mixed signals, leaving traders unsure whether the market is forming a bottom\u2014or setting up for another drop. Fresh on-chain data shows a clear divide between whale activity and broader market demand, creating uncertainty around what comes next.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to analysts at CryptoQuant, large Bitcoin holders\u2014often referred to as whales\u2014are quietly accumulating. Analyst CW8900 noted that inflows to accumulation addresses are hitting record levels daily. Even as Bitcoin trades sideways, significant amounts of BTC are being moved into long-term wallets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This steady accumulation suggests that whales are not rushing to sell. Instead, they appear to be supporting the market by absorbing supply and preventing sharp price declines. The strategy may also be helping maintain stability, reducing panic among smaller investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, retail participation seems to be fading. CW8900 pointed out that many smaller investors have already exited the market, leaving behind a thinner trading environment dominated by large players. This kind of setup has historically preceded strong upward moves\u2014if buying pressure continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Different View From Market Data<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>However, not all analysts agree that a bottom is forming. Research from XWIN Research Japan paints a more cautious picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The firm highlighted the Short-Term Holder SOPR (STH-SOPR), a key metric that shows whether short-term investors are selling at a profit or loss. Currently, the indicator is hovering around\u2014or below\u20141. This typically signals that short-term holders are selling at a loss, often seen during market corrections when weaker hands exit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While this behavior can appear during the early stages of a bottom, it does not confirm a reversal on its own. For a true recovery, strong buying demand needs to step in\u2014and that\u2019s where concerns are growing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Weak US Demand Raises Doubts<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the key warning signs comes from the Coinbase Premium Gap, a metric that tracks price differences between Coinbase and other exchanges. Right now, the premium remains negative, indicating weak demand from US investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In previous bull cycles, a consistent positive premium helped drive upward momentum. But according to XWIN Research Japan, that trend has not returned in the current market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This lack of strong buying pressure\u2014especially from US traders\u2014keeps the \u201cbottom not confirmed\u201d narrative alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Market at a Crossroads<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The current setup leaves Bitcoin in a delicate position. On one hand, whales are steadily accumulating, which could support a future rally. On the other, weak demand and ongoing selling pressure from short-term holders suggest caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, Bitcoin sits at a crossroads\u2014caught between bullish accumulation and bearish hesitation. Whether this turns into a breakout or a bull trap may depend on one key factor: the return of strong, sustained demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also read : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/kalshi-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Kalshi Blocked in Nevada as Judge Sides With Regulators<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is sending mixed signals, leaving traders unsure whether the market is forming a bottom\u2014or setting up for another drop. &#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more-container\"><a title=\"Bitcoin Bottom or Bull Trap? Market Signals Split\" class=\"read-more button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/bitcoin-60\/#more-2936\" aria-label=\"Read more about Bitcoin Bottom or Bull Trap? Market Signals Split\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2937,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[6847,6830,6832,6843,6846,6839,6834,6848,6842,6831,6835,6845,6836,6844,6838,6840,6837,6841,6849,6833],"class_list":["post-2936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency","tag-bitcoin-accumulation-addresses-meaning","tag-bitcoin-bottom-or-bull-trap-analysis","tag-bitcoin-coinbase-premium-negative-impact","tag-bitcoin-correction-or-bull-run-signals","tag-bitcoin-market-bottom-confirmation-signals","tag-bitcoin-market-sentiment-whales-vs-bears","tag-bitcoin-price-prediction-after-accumulation","tag-bitcoin-short-term-holders-selling-loss","tag-bitcoin-sopr-indicator-explained","tag-bitcoin-whale-accumulation-data-2026","tag-bitcoin-whale-vs-retail-activity-analysis","tag-crypto-market-trend-bitcoin-2026","tag-crypto-research-bitcoin-bottom-indicators","tag-cryptoquant-bitcoin-inflows-analysis","tag-future-of-bitcoin-price-trend-analysis","tag-is-bitcoin-forming-a-bottom-now","tag-on-chain-data-bitcoin-analysis-2026","tag-sth-sopr-below-1-meaning-bitcoin","tag-us-demand-for-bitcoin-coinbase-premium","tag-why-bitcoin-price-is-sideways-today","resize-featured-image"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Untitled-design-2026-04-05T215231.651.webp","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2936"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2936\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2938,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2936\/revisions\/2938"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2937"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decentralnetwork.org\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- This website is optimized by Airlift. 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