A programmer claims to have turned a modest $2,000 stake into $75,000 in a single day by using an AI-powered alert bot to track unusual activity on Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market. The trade centered on contracts linked to Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and has sparked fresh discussion around insider-style signals in political betting markets.
The details emerged in a post shared by an account called Archive on X, where the developer explained how a custom-built monitoring system flagged suspicious trading patterns hours before a major Maduro-related event. Those early alerts reportedly allowed the trader to buy positions at lower prices before the market shifted sharply, resulting in the six-figure return.
Rather than acting as a fully automated trading bot, the system works more like a high-speed radar. It continuously scans Polymarket’s public API and sends alerts when certain behaviors appear out of the ordinary. Final decisions — when to enter, exit, or size a trade — are still made manually by the human operator.
According to the post, the bot focuses on three main warning signs. First, it watches for newly created wallets that have little or no trading history but suddenly place meaningful bets. Second, it looks for unusually large wagers that stand out from normal market behavior. Third, it tracks repeated bets on Venezuela-related political contracts, which could suggest an informational edge rather than random speculation.
The programmer built the system using AI-assisted coding tools, specifically Claude AI and Cursor. These tools reportedly helped speed up development and reduce the need for deep programming expertise, allowing the trader to focus on strategy instead of complex code. While AI helped write and refine the software, it did not make predictions or place trades on its own.
The Maduro-related contracts were responsible for the bulk of the profits, which were generated during the bot’s first day of real-world use. Screenshots shared in the post showed the Polymarket wallet address and recent trading activity, lending visibility to the claim, though the strategy itself does not guarantee future gains.
At its core, the tool aims to identify pricing inefficiencies in political prediction markets — especially areas where insider knowledge or early information could influence odds before the wider market catches on. By processing large amounts of market data faster than a human could manually, the system highlights potential opportunities without attempting to forecast outcomes directly.
Polymarket has grown rapidly as a decentralized platform where users bet on real-world events using cryptocurrency, from elections to global news developments. As its popularity increases, so do concerns around whether certain traders may be acting on non-public information.
This case shows both the profit potential and the ethical gray areas of prediction markets. While the bot doesn’t prove insider trading, it demonstrates how AI-assisted tools can amplify an individual trader’s ability to spot unusual signals — and potentially turn small bets into massive wins.
Also Read: Bitcoin Rises as ETF Inflows Return Amid Venezuela Tensions
